An IPO drought pushes investors to a murky marketplace

PODCAST:Behind the Money
TITLE:An IPO drought pushes investors to a murky marketplace
DATE:2024-01-17 00:00:00
URL:
MODEL:gpt-4-gizmo


In this episode of "Behind the Money," the focus is on the venture secondary market, which is emerging as an alternative for employees and investors in startups to realize the value of their stock in the absence of traditional IPOs. Since 2021, the venture capital market has experienced a slowdown due to higher interest rates, leading to reduced valuations, less fundraising, and a significant drop in IPOs. As a result, employees of startups, who often receive a substantial portion of their compensation in stock, are finding themselves "paper rich" but "cash poor," unable to convert their stock into cash.

The venture secondary market offers a solution, providing a platform where startup employees and investors can trade their stakes in companies before they go public. This market is expected to grow in 2024, driven by startup employees seeking to liquidate part of their wealth and by venture capital firms and their investors facing liquidity issues. However, this market is less regulated and more opaque compared to public markets, raising concerns about potential manipulation and fraud.

The episode also discusses the rise and fall of Carter X, a division of the company Carter, which aimed to formalize and bring transparency to these secondary markets. Carter X's proposition was to host auctions for stocks of companies on the secondary market, but it faced a crisis when it was accused of using confidential customer data from its core business (cap table management) to boost Carter X's operations. This led to a breach of trust among Silicon Valley startups and ultimately resulted in the shutdown of the Carter X division.

The venture secondary market presents both opportunities and challenges. While it offers a much-needed outlet for liquidity in a market where traditional IPO exits are becoming rarer, it also harbors risks due to its less regulated nature and the inherent conflicts of interest among various market participants. As the market is expected to grow in 2024, these tensions are likely to become more prominent.